No geomagnetic storm (G0)
No radiation storm (S0)
Minor radio blackout (R1)
recovery by: no estimate


CURRENT INDICES
X-ray flux:  M1.8 
Ap index:  6 
Kp index:  2  ( 1 @11:05)
SFI: 176


SOLAR WIND
Density (p/cm3):  0.1 
Speed (km/s):  454 
Temp (K): 99 x1000


INTERPLANETARY MAGNETIC FIELD
Strength: Bx=4.5 | By=-0.9
  Bz= -3.5  | Bt= 5.7 
Angle: Lat= -37.1 ° | Lon=348.3°


SUNSPOTS
Count: 181
Area (10-6/Hemi): 1060
New regions: 2


FLARES
X-ray: C=7 M=1 X=0
Optical: M1=0 M2=0 M3=0


LATEST FLARE: 27 Jul 2024
Begin:
05:13
C4.4
Maximum:
05:46
M3.0
End:
--:--
ongoing
Current ratio:0.085
Integrated flux (J m-2):7.36E-2


PROBABILITY
Flares:
+1 day+2 days+3 days
C: 99%99%99%
M: 60%60%60%
X: 10%10%10%
Protons:
+1 day+2 days+3 days
Storm: 10%10%10%
PCA event: green


SUMMARY

Space weather for the past 24 hours has been minor. Geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level occurred. Radio blackouts reaching the R1 level occurred.


FORECAST

Space weather for the next 24 hours is predicted to be minor. Geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level are likely. Radio blackouts reaching the R1 level are likely.


SOLAR ACTIVITY

Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (27 Jul, 28 Jul, 29 Jul).


GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (27 Jul), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (28 Jul) and quiet to active levels on day three (29 Jul). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (27 Jul, 28 Jul, 29 Jul).

last update: 2024-07-27 06:20 UTC


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