No geomagnetic storm (G0)
No radiation storm (S0)
No radio blackout (R0)


CURRENT INDICES
X-ray flux:  C1.9 
Ap index:  15 
Kp index:  3  ( 2 @21:56)
SFI: 179


SOLAR WIND
Density (p/cm3):  7.6 
Speed (km/s):  399 
Temp (K): 11 x1000


INTERPLANETARY MAGNETIC FIELD
Strength: Bx=0 | By=-1.7
  Bz= 10.1  | Bt= 10.3 
Angle: Lat= 80.4 ° | Lon=270.3°


SUNSPOTS
Count: 106
Area (10-6/Hemi): 1710
New regions: 0


FLARES
X-ray: C=11 M=4 X=0
Optical: M1=0 M2=0 M3=0


LATEST FLARE: 25 Feb 2024
Begin:
16:47
C1.8
Maximum:
17:22
M2.0
End:
17:47
M1.0
Current ratio:0.02
Integrated flux (J m-2):4.53E-2


PROBABILITY
Flares:
+1 day+2 days+3 days
C: 99%99%99%
M: 70%70%70%
X: 30%30%30%
Protons:
+1 day+2 days+3 days
Storm: 10%10%10%
PCA event: green


SUMMARY

Space weather for the past 24 hours has been minor. Radio blackouts reaching the R1 level occurred.


FORECAST

Space weather for the next 24 hours is predicted to be moderate. Geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level are likely. Radio blackouts reaching the R2 level are likely.


SOLAR ACTIVITY

Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (25 Feb, 26 Feb, 27 Feb).


GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (25 Feb), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (26 Feb) and quiet levels on day three (27 Feb). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (25 Feb, 26 Feb, 27 Feb).

last update: 2024-02-25 21:15 UTC


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